Recent forecast models from the Met Office and Open-Meteo ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under a stable high-pressure regime near 1021 hPa, with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 60% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, as current conditions show no strong warming or cooling signals that would push extremes. September 2026 has run above the 14°C climatological mean, but the approaching frontal system after the 19th supports a mild peak consistent with late-summer norms rather than late-month cooling. Final hourly observations will resolve the exact daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月19日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
22°C 65%
21℃ 30%
23℃ 7%
20°C 2%
新規
$11,565 Vol.
新規
$11,565 Vol.
2026/09/19
17°C以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
2%
21℃
30%
22°C
65%
23℃
7%
24℃
<1%
25°C
1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
22°C 65%
21℃ 30%
23℃ 7%
20°C 2%
新規
$11,565 Vol.
新規
$11,565 Vol.
2026/09/19
17°C以下
$961 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$239 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$689 Vol.
2%
21℃
$2,463 Vol.
30%
22°C
$4,177 Vol.
65%
23℃
$1,482 Vol.
7%
24℃
$848 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$265 Vol.
1%
26℃
$111 Vol.
<1%
27℃以上
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Met Office and Open-Meteo ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under a stable high-pressure regime near 1021 hPa, with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 60% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, as current conditions show no strong warming or cooling signals that would push extremes. September 2026 has run above the 14°C climatological mean, but the approaching frontal system after the 19th supports a mild peak consistent with late-summer norms rather than late-month cooling. Final hourly observations will resolve the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$11,565終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Met Office and Open-Meteo ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under a stable high-pressure regime near 1021 hPa, with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 60% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, as current conditions show no strong warming or cooling signals that would push extremes. September 2026 has run above the 14°C climatological mean, but the approaching frontal system after the 19th supports a mild peak consistent with late-summer norms rather than late-month cooling. Final hourly observations will resolve the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,565終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast models from the Met Office and Open-Meteo ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under a stable high-pressure regime near 1021 hPa, with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 60% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, as current conditions show no strong warming or cooling signals that would push extremes. September 2026 has run above the 14°C climatological mean, but the approaching frontal system after the 19th supports a mild peak consistent with late-summer norms rather than late-month cooling. Final hourly observations will resolve the exact daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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