Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS and observations from Warsaw stations point to a minimum temperature of 8°C overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light southwesterly winds around 5-10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1016-1020 hPa. This aligns with typical early autumn patterns where minimums dip several degrees below daytime highs of 21-22°C. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified forecasts and real-time data, with minimal divergence across ensembles. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized station variations, delayed official reporting revisions, or an unexpected cloud cover increase that moderates cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月19日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8℃ 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7°C <1%
9°C <1%
$4,708 Vol.
$4,708 Vol.
2026/09/19
6℃以下
いいえ
7°C
いいえ
8℃
はい
9°C
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃以上
いいえ
8℃ 100.0%
6℃以下 <1%
7°C <1%
9°C <1%
$4,708 Vol.
$4,708 Vol.
2026/09/19
6℃以下
$86 Vol.
いいえ
7°C
$91 Vol.
いいえ
8℃
$1,903 Vol.
はい
9°C
$1,298 Vol.
いいえ
10℃
$672 Vol.
いいえ
11℃
$171 Vol.
いいえ
12℃
$222 Vol.
いいえ
13℃
$80 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$39 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$130 Vol.
いいえ
16℃以上
$18 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS and observations from Warsaw stations point to a minimum temperature of 8°C overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light southwesterly winds around 5-10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1016-1020 hPa. This aligns with typical early autumn patterns where minimums dip several degrees below daytime highs of 21-22°C. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified forecasts and real-time data, with minimal divergence across ensembles. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized station variations, delayed official reporting revisions, or an unexpected cloud cover increase that moderates cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$4,708終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS and observations from Warsaw stations point to a minimum temperature of 8°C overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light southwesterly winds around 5-10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1016-1020 hPa. This aligns with typical early autumn patterns where minimums dip several degrees below daytime highs of 21-22°C. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified forecasts and real-time data, with minimal divergence across ensembles. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized station variations, delayed official reporting revisions, or an unexpected cloud cover increase that moderates cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,708終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent weather model consensus from sources like the GFS and observations from Warsaw stations point to a minimum temperature of 8°C overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light southwesterly winds around 5-10 km/h, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1016-1020 hPa. This aligns with typical early autumn patterns where minimums dip several degrees below daytime highs of 21-22°C. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified forecasts and real-time data, with minimal divergence across ensembles. A realistic challenge could arise only from localized station variations, delayed official reporting revisions, or an unexpected cloud cover increase that moderates cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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