Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 22 likely falling between 9°C and 11°C overnight under northwest winds and scattered showers, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds for 9°C. This range reflects transitional autumn conditions following a period of above-normal September temperatures and variable precipitation across Poland, with high pressure building from the northwest moderating any stronger cooling. Model consensus remains tight on the overnight low due to limited diurnal variation and cloud cover, though small shifts in timing of showers or wind could push readings a degree or two in either direction. Traders appear to weigh historical September minima near 10°C against the current unsettled pattern, with fresh model runs from agencies like the ECMWF or national meteorological services expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月22日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
4℃以下 85%
14℃以上 83%
9℃ 40%
10℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
4℃以下
85%
5℃
9%
6°C
9%
7℃
33%
8℃
27%
9℃
40%
10℃
39%
11°C
17%
12℃
39%
13℃
15%
14℃以上
83%
4℃以下 85%
14℃以上 83%
9℃ 40%
10℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
4℃以下
$0 Vol.
85%
5℃
$0 Vol.
9%
6°C
$0 Vol.
9%
7℃
$0 Vol.
33%
8℃
$0 Vol.
27%
9℃
$18 Vol.
40%
10℃
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12℃
$0 Vol.
39%
13℃
$0 Vol.
15%
14℃以上
$0 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 22 likely falling between 9°C and 11°C overnight under northwest winds and scattered showers, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds for 9°C. This range reflects transitional autumn conditions following a period of above-normal September temperatures and variable precipitation across Poland, with high pressure building from the northwest moderating any stronger cooling. Model consensus remains tight on the overnight low due to limited diurnal variation and cloud cover, though small shifts in timing of showers or wind could push readings a degree or two in either direction. Traders appear to weigh historical September minima near 10°C against the current unsettled pattern, with fresh model runs from agencies like the ECMWF or national meteorological services expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$18終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 22 likely falling between 9°C and 11°C overnight under northwest winds and scattered showers, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds for 9°C. This range reflects transitional autumn conditions following a period of above-normal September temperatures and variable precipitation across Poland, with high pressure building from the northwest moderating any stronger cooling. Model consensus remains tight on the overnight low due to limited diurnal variation and cloud cover, though small shifts in timing of showers or wind could push readings a degree or two in either direction. Traders appear to weigh historical September minima near 10°C against the current unsettled pattern, with fresh model runs from agencies like the ECMWF or national meteorological services expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$18終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 22 likely falling between 9°C and 11°C overnight under northwest winds and scattered showers, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds for 9°C. This range reflects transitional autumn conditions following a period of above-normal September temperatures and variable precipitation across Poland, with high pressure building from the northwest moderating any stronger cooling. Model consensus remains tight on the overnight low due to limited diurnal variation and cloud cover, though small shifts in timing of showers or wind could push readings a degree or two in either direction. Traders appear to weigh historical September minima near 10°C against the current unsettled pattern, with fresh model runs from agencies like the ECMWF or national meteorological services expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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