**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on September 22 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance, with market-implied odds clustered near 40% for both 14°C or below and 24°C or higher.** Recent model runs show a transition from warm, northerly flow on September 21 to an approaching frontal system bringing clouds, showers, and a wind shift to westerly or southerly directions by the 22nd. This setup introduces variability in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger cold-air advection or clearer skies after evening rain could allow surface temperatures to drop toward or below the seasonal average low near 12–16°C, supporting the lower outcome. Conversely, persistent cloud cover, higher dew points from moisture, or delayed frontal passage would limit cooling and keep the minimum closer to 18–20°C or above. Official agency guidance and ensemble spreads highlight modest but meaningful differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, which directly influence the diurnal temperature range. With resolution imminent, the next model updates and real-time observations will likely narrow the range of plausible outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
9月22日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
24℃以上 85%
14℃以下 83%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
14℃以下
83%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17℃
28%
18℃
39%
19℃
21%
20℃
21%
21°C
39%
22℃
39%
23°C
39%
24℃以上
85%
24℃以上 85%
14℃以下 83%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
14℃以下
$0 Vol.
83%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17℃
$0 Vol.
28%
18℃
$0 Vol.
39%
19℃
$0 Vol.
21%
20℃
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22℃
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24℃以上
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on September 22 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance, with market-implied odds clustered near 40% for both 14°C or below and 24°C or higher.**
Recent model runs show a transition from warm, northerly flow on September 21 to an approaching frontal system bringing clouds, showers, and a wind shift to westerly or southerly directions by the 22nd. This setup introduces variability in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger cold-air advection or clearer skies after evening rain could allow surface temperatures to drop toward or below the seasonal average low near 12–16°C, supporting the lower outcome. Conversely, persistent cloud cover, higher dew points from moisture, or delayed frontal passage would limit cooling and keep the minimum closer to 18–20°C or above.
Official agency guidance and ensemble spreads highlight modest but meaningful differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, which directly influence the diurnal temperature range. With resolution imminent, the next model updates and real-time observations will likely narrow the range of plausible outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on September 22 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance, with market-implied odds clustered near 40% for both 14°C or below and 24°C or higher.**
Recent model runs show a transition from warm, northerly flow on September 21 to an approaching frontal system bringing clouds, showers, and a wind shift to westerly or southerly directions by the 22nd. This setup introduces variability in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger cold-air advection or clearer skies after evening rain could allow surface temperatures to drop toward or below the seasonal average low near 12–16°C, supporting the lower outcome. Conversely, persistent cloud cover, higher dew points from moisture, or delayed frontal passage would limit cooling and keep the minimum closer to 18–20°C or above.
Official agency guidance and ensemble spreads highlight modest but meaningful differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, which directly influence the diurnal temperature range. With resolution imminent, the next model updates and real-time observations will likely narrow the range of plausible outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in São Paulo on September 22 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance, with market-implied odds clustered near 40% for both 14°C or below and 24°C or higher.** Recent model runs show a transition from warm, northerly flow on September 21 to an approaching frontal system bringing clouds, showers, and a wind shift to westerly or southerly directions by the 22nd. This setup introduces variability in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger cold-air advection or clearer skies after evening rain could allow surface temperatures to drop toward or below the seasonal average low near 12–16°C, supporting the lower outcome. Conversely, persistent cloud cover, higher dew points from moisture, or delayed frontal passage would limit cooling and keep the minimum closer to 18–20°C or above. Official agency guidance and ensemble spreads highlight modest but meaningful differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, which directly influence the diurnal temperature range. With resolution imminent, the next model updates and real-time observations will likely narrow the range of plausible outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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