Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
9月21日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
26℃ 56%
27°C以上 36%
25°C 7%
24℃ 2.5%
新規
$17,024 Vol.
新規
$17,024 Vol.
2026/09/21
17℃以下
1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
3%
25°C
7%
26℃
56%
27°C以上
36%
26℃ 56%
27°C以上 36%
25°C 7%
24℃ 2.5%
新規
$17,024 Vol.
新規
$17,024 Vol.
2026/09/21
17℃以下
$602 Vol.
1%
18°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$41 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$41 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,646 Vol.
1%
24℃
$832 Vol.
3%
25°C
$3,762 Vol.
7%
26℃
$3,241 Vol.
56%
27°C以上
$6,782 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
音量
$17,024終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$17,024終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including Mexico's CONAGUA and international runs such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Mexico City on September 21, consistent with climatological norms of 22–24°C for late September at this high-elevation site. Current surface observations show temperatures reaching 23–26°C on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting modest warming potential if afternoon insolation increases. Trader consensus favoring 26°C reflects these outputs while assigning meaningful probability to 27°C or higher amid model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; lower outcomes remain discounted given the absence of strong cooling signals like enhanced rain or northerly surges. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine peak timing ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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