Recent KMA and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 28–29 °C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology of 25–27 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection suppress afternoon convection or warming, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near this range. The 58.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader alignment with these consensus forecasts, while lower odds on 29 °C or 27 °C account for minor model spread and observational uncertainty at the official station. No incoming fronts or tropical influences are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は？
9月19日のソウル（仁川）の最高気温は？
28℃ 63%
27℃ 24%
29°C 11%
26°C 4%
新規
$18,013 Vol.
新規
$18,013 Vol.
2026/09/19
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27℃
24%
28℃
63%
29°C
11%
30℃
3%
31°C
2%
32℃
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
28℃ 63%
27℃ 24%
29°C 11%
26°C 4%
新規
$18,013 Vol.
新規
$18,013 Vol.
2026/09/19
23℃以下
$345 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$375 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,235 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,757 Vol.
4%
27℃
$3,805 Vol.
24%
28℃
$5,828 Vol.
63%
29°C
$2,115 Vol.
11%
30℃
$1,029 Vol.
3%
31°C
$845 Vol.
2%
32℃
$135 Vol.
<1%
33℃以上
$544 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 28–29 °C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology of 25–27 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection suppress afternoon convection or warming, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near this range. The 58.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader alignment with these consensus forecasts, while lower odds on 29 °C or 27 °C account for minor model spread and observational uncertainty at the official station. No incoming fronts or tropical influences are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$18,013終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 28–29 °C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology of 25–27 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection suppress afternoon convection or warming, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near this range. The 58.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader alignment with these consensus forecasts, while lower odds on 29 °C or 27 °C account for minor model spread and observational uncertainty at the official station. No incoming fronts or tropical influences are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$18,013終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent KMA and ensemble model guidance indicate a high of 28–29 °C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19 under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology of 25–27 °C. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection suppress afternoon convection or warming, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near this range. The 58.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader alignment with these consensus forecasts, while lower odds on 29 °C or 27 °C account for minor model spread and observational uncertainty at the official station. No incoming fronts or tropical influences are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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