Latest global model runs, including GFS ensembles, show Paris overnight minimums stabilizing near 13°C on September 19 under a high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly winds and variable partial cloud cover. This setup favors modest radiative cooling after sunset, though scattered clouds may limit the drop below 12°C while preventing sharper falls toward 11°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 12°C and 13°C reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that control the precise overnight low, with historical September averages near 11°C providing a cooler baseline but current synoptic conditions supporting milder outcomes. Updated model guidance and any last-minute cloud trends will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のパリの最低気温は？
9月19日のパリの最低気温は？
13℃ 43%
12°C 37%
11℃ 15%
14℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
10℃以下
1%
11℃
15%
12°C
37%
13℃
43%
14℃
8%
15℃
6%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19℃
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
13℃ 43%
12°C 37%
11℃ 15%
14℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
10℃以下
$107 Vol.
1%
11℃
$511 Vol.
15%
12°C
$897 Vol.
37%
13℃
$3,711 Vol.
43%
14℃
$520 Vol.
8%
15℃
$110 Vol.
6%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$41 Vol.
1%
19℃
$41 Vol.
<1%
20℃以上
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model runs, including GFS ensembles, show Paris overnight minimums stabilizing near 13°C on September 19 under a high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly winds and variable partial cloud cover. This setup favors modest radiative cooling after sunset, though scattered clouds may limit the drop below 12°C while preventing sharper falls toward 11°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 12°C and 13°C reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that control the precise overnight low, with historical September averages near 11°C providing a cooler baseline but current synoptic conditions supporting milder outcomes. Updated model guidance and any last-minute cloud trends will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$5,979終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model runs, including GFS ensembles, show Paris overnight minimums stabilizing near 13°C on September 19 under a high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly winds and variable partial cloud cover. This setup favors modest radiative cooling after sunset, though scattered clouds may limit the drop below 12°C while preventing sharper falls toward 11°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 12°C and 13°C reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that control the precise overnight low, with historical September averages near 11°C providing a cooler baseline but current synoptic conditions supporting milder outcomes. Updated model guidance and any last-minute cloud trends will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,979終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest global model runs, including GFS ensembles, show Paris overnight minimums stabilizing near 13°C on September 19 under a high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly winds and variable partial cloud cover. This setup favors modest radiative cooling after sunset, though scattered clouds may limit the drop below 12°C while preventing sharper falls toward 11°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 12°C and 13°C reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that control the precise overnight low, with historical September averages near 11°C providing a cooler baseline but current synoptic conditions supporting milder outcomes. Updated model guidance and any last-minute cloud trends will likely refine trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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