Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, point to a high of 23–24°C in Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies and southerly flow associated with a high-pressure ridge. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming typical of early spring in the region, with afternoon temperatures limited by persistent onshore breezes and low humidity. Market-implied odds favor 24°C as the leading outcome because ensemble guidance clusters near this value, while slightly cooler or warmer scenarios reflect minor model spread in wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. Stable high pressure and negligible precipitation risk have kept probabilities steady in recent updates, with traders weighting official guidance and historical September maxima around 19–20°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
9月19日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
24℃ 39%
23℃ 26%
25℃ 20%
22℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
14%
23℃
26%
24℃
39%
25℃
20%
26℃
5%
27℃
2%
28℃以上
1%
24℃ 39%
23℃ 26%
25℃ 20%
22℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
18℃以下
$526 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$2 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$142 Vol.
1%
21℃
$346 Vol.
2%
22℃
$861 Vol.
14%
23℃
$1,077 Vol.
26%
24℃
$385 Vol.
39%
25℃
$837 Vol.
20%
26℃
$374 Vol.
5%
27℃
$84 Vol.
2%
28℃以上
$174 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, point to a high of 23–24°C in Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies and southerly flow associated with a high-pressure ridge. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming typical of early spring in the region, with afternoon temperatures limited by persistent onshore breezes and low humidity. Market-implied odds favor 24°C as the leading outcome because ensemble guidance clusters near this value, while slightly cooler or warmer scenarios reflect minor model spread in wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. Stable high pressure and negligible precipitation risk have kept probabilities steady in recent updates, with traders weighting official guidance and historical September maxima around 19–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$4,799終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, point to a high of 23–24°C in Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies and southerly flow associated with a high-pressure ridge. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming typical of early spring in the region, with afternoon temperatures limited by persistent onshore breezes and low humidity. Market-implied odds favor 24°C as the leading outcome because ensemble guidance clusters near this value, while slightly cooler or warmer scenarios reflect minor model spread in wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. Stable high pressure and negligible precipitation risk have kept probabilities steady in recent updates, with traders weighting official guidance and historical September maxima around 19–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,799終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs, point to a high of 23–24°C in Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies and southerly flow associated with a high-pressure ridge. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming typical of early spring in the region, with afternoon temperatures limited by persistent onshore breezes and low humidity. Market-implied odds favor 24°C as the leading outcome because ensemble guidance clusters near this value, while slightly cooler or warmer scenarios reflect minor model spread in wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. Stable high pressure and negligible precipitation risk have kept probabilities steady in recent updates, with traders weighting official guidance and historical September maxima around 19–20°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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