Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a daytime high near 22°C for Ankara on September 18, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and scattered showers that reduce solar heating under increased cloud cover. This follows several days of above-average warmth earlier in September, with current observations showing a shift toward more stable, autumnal conditions and precipitation probabilities around 40-50%. Trader-implied probabilities favor 22°C or 23°C as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime recovery to the low-20s Celsius while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow slightly higher readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のアンカラの最高気温は？
9月18日のアンカラの最高気温は？
22℃ 43%
23℃ 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
新規
$12,107 Vol.
新規
$12,107 Vol.
2026/09/18
17℃以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
16%
22℃
43%
23℃
31%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
22℃ 43%
23℃ 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
新規
$12,107 Vol.
新規
$12,107 Vol.
2026/09/18
17℃以下
$503 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$373 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$438 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$183 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,755 Vol.
16%
22℃
$1,453 Vol.
43%
23℃
$2,168 Vol.
31%
24°C
$2,820 Vol.
12%
25°C
$1,177 Vol.
2%
26°C
$930 Vol.
<1%
27℃以上
$307 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a daytime high near 22°C for Ankara on September 18, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and scattered showers that reduce solar heating under increased cloud cover. This follows several days of above-average warmth earlier in September, with current observations showing a shift toward more stable, autumnal conditions and precipitation probabilities around 40-50%. Trader-implied probabilities favor 22°C or 23°C as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime recovery to the low-20s Celsius while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow slightly higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$12,107終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a daytime high near 22°C for Ankara on September 18, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and scattered showers that reduce solar heating under increased cloud cover. This follows several days of above-average warmth earlier in September, with current observations showing a shift toward more stable, autumnal conditions and precipitation probabilities around 40-50%. Trader-implied probabilities favor 22°C or 23°C as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime recovery to the low-20s Celsius while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow slightly higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,107終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a daytime high near 22°C for Ankara on September 18, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and scattered showers that reduce solar heating under increased cloud cover. This follows several days of above-average warmth earlier in September, with current observations showing a shift toward more stable, autumnal conditions and precipitation probabilities around 40-50%. Trader-implied probabilities favor 22°C or 23°C as the most likely outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime recovery to the low-20s Celsius while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow slightly higher readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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