Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a Milan maximum of 23–24°C on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light showers or drizzle that reduce solar insolation and limit afternoon heating. Overnight lows near 17–18°C and high humidity further constrain the diurnal range. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (29.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed peak temperatures relative to September climatology of roughly 24–25°C. Updated midday observations and any clearing trends could shift implied probabilities toward 24°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のミラノの最高気温は？
9月18日のミラノの最高気温は？
22℃ 42%
23℃ 30%
24℃ 19%
21℃ 10%
新規
$14,663 Vol.
新規
$14,663 Vol.
2026/09/18
15℃以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
2%
21℃
10%
22℃
42%
23℃
30%
24℃
19%
25°C以上
4%
22℃ 42%
23℃ 30%
24℃ 19%
21℃ 10%
新規
$14,663 Vol.
新規
$14,663 Vol.
2026/09/18
15℃以下
$45 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$125 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$2,787 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$375 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$616 Vol.
2%
21℃
$1,212 Vol.
10%
22℃
$1,653 Vol.
42%
23℃
$3,792 Vol.
30%
24℃
$2,454 Vol.
19%
25°C以上
$1,479 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a Milan maximum of 23–24°C on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light showers or drizzle that reduce solar insolation and limit afternoon heating. Overnight lows near 17–18°C and high humidity further constrain the diurnal range. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (29.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed peak temperatures relative to September climatology of roughly 24–25°C. Updated midday observations and any clearing trends could shift implied probabilities toward 24°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$14,663終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a Milan maximum of 23–24°C on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light showers or drizzle that reduce solar insolation and limit afternoon heating. Overnight lows near 17–18°C and high humidity further constrain the diurnal range. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (29.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed peak temperatures relative to September climatology of roughly 24–25°C. Updated midday observations and any clearing trends could shift implied probabilities toward 24°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,663終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a Milan maximum of 23–24°C on September 18, 2026, driven by persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light showers or drizzle that reduce solar insolation and limit afternoon heating. Overnight lows near 17–18°C and high humidity further constrain the diurnal range. These conditions align with the market’s emphasis on 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (29.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed peak temperatures relative to September climatology of roughly 24–25°C. Updated midday observations and any clearing trends could shift implied probabilities toward 24°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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