Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show high uncertainty for Milan's minimum temperature on September 18, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible clear-sky radiational cooling overnight. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry conditions have kept daytime highs near seasonal norms around 24–26°C, but subtle shifts in the 500 hPa pattern or incoming Atlantic moisture could alter boundary-layer mixing and push the overnight low either below 13°C or above 21°C. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher, traders are pricing in this genuine forecast divergence ahead of the final observational verification from official Milan stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のミラノの最低気温は？
9月18日のミラノの最低気温は？
12℃以下 79%
22°C以上 79%
13℃ 39%
14℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
12℃以下
79%
13℃
39%
14℃
39%
15℃
39%
16°C
39%
17℃
24%
18℃
27%
19℃
38%
20℃
37%
21℃
39%
22°C以上
79%
12℃以下 79%
22°C以上 79%
13℃ 39%
14℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
12℃以下
$0 Vol.
79%
13℃
$0 Vol.
39%
14℃
$0 Vol.
39%
15℃
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17℃
$0 Vol.
24%
18℃
$0 Vol.
27%
19℃
$0 Vol.
38%
20℃
$0 Vol.
37%
21℃
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C以上
$0 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show high uncertainty for Milan's minimum temperature on September 18, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible clear-sky radiational cooling overnight. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry conditions have kept daytime highs near seasonal norms around 24–26°C, but subtle shifts in the 500 hPa pattern or incoming Atlantic moisture could alter boundary-layer mixing and push the overnight low either below 13°C or above 21°C. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher, traders are pricing in this genuine forecast divergence ahead of the final observational verification from official Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show high uncertainty for Milan's minimum temperature on September 18, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible clear-sky radiational cooling overnight. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry conditions have kept daytime highs near seasonal norms around 24–26°C, but subtle shifts in the 500 hPa pattern or incoming Atlantic moisture could alter boundary-layer mixing and push the overnight low either below 13°C or above 21°C. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher, traders are pricing in this genuine forecast divergence ahead of the final observational verification from official Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show high uncertainty for Milan's minimum temperature on September 18, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible clear-sky radiational cooling overnight. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry conditions have kept daytime highs near seasonal norms around 24–26°C, but subtle shifts in the 500 hPa pattern or incoming Atlantic moisture could alter boundary-layer mixing and push the overnight low either below 13°C or above 21°C. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher, traders are pricing in this genuine forecast divergence ahead of the final observational verification from official Milan stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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