Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Busan’s September 19 maximum will likely fall in the 25–26°C range under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds and lingering marine influence following widespread rain on the 18th. These conditions limit daytime heating while historical September climatology shows typical highs near 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 27°C (49.5%) and 28°C (31%) appears to incorporate uncertainty in afternoon insolation and local urban effects, with lower probabilities on 26°C (17%) reflecting the risk of more cloud cover or stronger winds. Final resolution will depend on the official daily maximum recorded by KMA stations tomorrow evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の釜山の最高気温は?
27℃ 50%
28°C 31%
26°C 17%
29°C 6%
$13,028 Vol.
$13,028 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
2%
26°C
17%
27℃
50%
28°C
31%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
27℃ 50%
28°C 31%
26°C 17%
29°C 6%
$13,028 Vol.
$13,028 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
2%
26°C
17%
27℃
50%
28°C
31%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Busan’s September 19 maximum will likely fall in the 25–26°C range under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds and lingering marine influence following widespread rain on the 18th. These conditions limit daytime heating while historical September climatology shows typical highs near 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 27°C (49.5%) and 28°C (31%) appears to incorporate uncertainty in afternoon insolation and local urban effects, with lower probabilities on 26°C (17%) reflecting the risk of more cloud cover or stronger winds. Final resolution will depend on the official daily maximum recorded by KMA stations tomorrow evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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