**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 24°C high in Istanbul on September 19, reflecting the latest consensus from global forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF.** Stable high pressure, northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating, producing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C after morning lows around 18°C. Some model runs show minor upside potential to 26°C with clearer conditions, yet the majority cluster at 24°C, aligning with the 65.5% probability on that outcome and lower shares for 23°C or 25°C. Late-September climatology supports these values, with typical maxima in the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent model guidance, which shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
9月19日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
24°C 66%
23℃ 20%
25°C 15%
20℃以下 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
20℃以下
2%
21℃
2%
22℃
2%
23℃
20%
24°C
66%
25°C
15%
26℃
2%
27℃
2%
28℃
1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
24°C 66%
23℃ 20%
25°C 15%
20℃以下 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
20℃以下
$40 Vol.
2%
21℃
$22 Vol.
2%
22℃
$7 Vol.
2%
23℃
$461 Vol.
20%
24°C
$619 Vol.
66%
25°C
$469 Vol.
15%
26℃
$7 Vol.
2%
27℃
$22 Vol.
2%
28℃
$180 Vol.
1%
29℃
$106 Vol.
<1%
30℃以上
$106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 24°C high in Istanbul on September 19, reflecting the latest consensus from global forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF.** Stable high pressure, northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating, producing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C after morning lows around 18°C. Some model runs show minor upside potential to 26°C with clearer conditions, yet the majority cluster at 24°C, aligning with the 65.5% probability on that outcome and lower shares for 23°C or 25°C. Late-September climatology supports these values, with typical maxima in the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent model guidance, which shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$2,039終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 24°C high in Istanbul on September 19, reflecting the latest consensus from global forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF.** Stable high pressure, northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating, producing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C after morning lows around 18°C. Some model runs show minor upside potential to 26°C with clearer conditions, yet the majority cluster at 24°C, aligning with the 65.5% probability on that outcome and lower shares for 23°C or 25°C. Late-September climatology supports these values, with typical maxima in the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent model guidance, which shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,039終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 24°C high in Istanbul on September 19, reflecting the latest consensus from global forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF.** Stable high pressure, northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating, producing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C after morning lows around 18°C. Some model runs show minor upside potential to 26°C with clearer conditions, yet the majority cluster at 24°C, aligning with the 65.5% probability on that outcome and lower shares for 23°C or 25°C. Late-September climatology supports these values, with typical maxima in the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent model guidance, which shows limited day-to-day variability ahead of the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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