Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for September 15, 2026, shows generally dry conditions across much of the contiguous U.S. under a broad ridge, with the highest precipitation probabilities concentrated in the Southeast and Florida where afternoon heating, easterly flow, and boundary-layer moisture favor scattered thunderstorms (50% chance in Tampa per current models). Midwestern and northeastern areas trend drier with sunny to partly cloudy skies and low probability of measurable rain. Key variables include steering patterns from the mid-level ridge, diurnal instability timing, and any short-wave energy that could shift moisture northward overnight. Updated 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs plus official NWS QPF products expected later today will refine these signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日はどこで雨が降りますか?
ニューヨーク(NY)
14%
ロサンゼルス(カリフォルニア州)
14%
イリノイ州シカゴ
74%
テキサス州ヒューストン
50%
テキサス州ダラス
14%
アリゾナ州フェニックス
42%
ペンシルベニア州フィラデルフィア
14%
コロラド州デンバー
31%
ワシントンD.C.
16%
ジョージア州アトランタ
18%
フロリダ州マイアミ
54%
ワシントン州シアトル
64%
マサチューセッツ州ボストン
4%
ルイジアナ州ニューオーリンズ
25%
カリフォルニア州サンフランシスコ
15%
$394 Vol.
ニューヨーク(NY)
14%
ロサンゼルス(カリフォルニア州)
14%
イリノイ州シカゴ
74%
テキサス州ヒューストン
50%
テキサス州ダラス
14%
アリゾナ州フェニックス
42%
ペンシルベニア州フィラデルフィア
14%
コロラド州デンバー
31%
ワシントンD.C.
16%
ジョージア州アトランタ
18%
フロリダ州マイアミ
54%
ワシントン州シアトル
64%
マサチューセッツ州ボストン
4%
ルイジアナ州ニューオーリンズ
25%
カリフォルニア州サンフランシスコ
15%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for September 15, 2026, shows generally dry conditions across much of the contiguous U.S. under a broad ridge, with the highest precipitation probabilities concentrated in the Southeast and Florida where afternoon heating, easterly flow, and boundary-layer moisture favor scattered thunderstorms (50% chance in Tampa per current models). Midwestern and northeastern areas trend drier with sunny to partly cloudy skies and low probability of measurable rain. Key variables include steering patterns from the mid-level ridge, diurnal instability timing, and any short-wave energy that could shift moisture northward overnight. Updated 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs plus official NWS QPF products expected later today will refine these signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問