Strengthening El Niño conditions and mixed seasonal model guidance are the main factors keeping NYC September precipitation probabilities clustered between roughly 2–6 inches. El Niño typically suppresses Northeast rainfall through enhanced subtropical ridging and altered storm tracks, consistent with Old Farmer’s Almanac drier signals and CPC outlooks showing only neutral-to-slightly-below-normal precipitation odds. However, forecast spread, lingering summer moisture patterns, and the potential for occasional tropical moisture or coastal systems support the slight market tilt toward >6 inches (22%) over the driest bins. Historical September totals average near 4.3 inches with high year-to-year variability, so traders are pricing genuine uncertainty rather than a dominant dry or wet regime ahead of early-month model updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月のニューヨークの降水量は？
9月のニューヨークの降水量は？
>6" 22%
3-4" 21%
2-3" 19%
4-5" 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
<2"
10%
2-3"
19%
3-4"
21%
4-5"
19%
5-6"
15%
>6"
22%
>6" 22%
3-4" 21%
2-3" 19%
4-5" 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
<2"
$577 Vol.
10%
2-3"
$0 Vol.
19%
3-4"
$50 Vol.
21%
4-5"
$0 Vol.
19%
5-6"
$20 Vol.
15%
>6"
$60 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strengthening El Niño conditions and mixed seasonal model guidance are the main factors keeping NYC September precipitation probabilities clustered between roughly 2–6 inches. El Niño typically suppresses Northeast rainfall through enhanced subtropical ridging and altered storm tracks, consistent with Old Farmer’s Almanac drier signals and CPC outlooks showing only neutral-to-slightly-below-normal precipitation odds. However, forecast spread, lingering summer moisture patterns, and the potential for occasional tropical moisture or coastal systems support the slight market tilt toward >6 inches (22%) over the driest bins. Historical September totals average near 4.3 inches with high year-to-year variability, so traders are pricing genuine uncertainty rather than a dominant dry or wet regime ahead of early-month model updates.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
音量
$707終了日
2026/10/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strengthening El Niño conditions and mixed seasonal model guidance are the main factors keeping NYC September precipitation probabilities clustered between roughly 2–6 inches. El Niño typically suppresses Northeast rainfall through enhanced subtropical ridging and altered storm tracks, consistent with Old Farmer’s Almanac drier signals and CPC outlooks showing only neutral-to-slightly-below-normal precipitation odds. However, forecast spread, lingering summer moisture patterns, and the potential for occasional tropical moisture or coastal systems support the slight market tilt toward >6 inches (22%) over the driest bins. Historical September totals average near 4.3 inches with high year-to-year variability, so traders are pricing genuine uncertainty rather than a dominant dry or wet regime ahead of early-month model updates.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$707終了日
2026/10/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Strengthening El Niño conditions and mixed seasonal model guidance are the main factors keeping NYC September precipitation probabilities clustered between roughly 2–6 inches. El Niño typically suppresses Northeast rainfall through enhanced subtropical ridging and altered storm tracks, consistent with Old Farmer’s Almanac drier signals and CPC outlooks showing only neutral-to-slightly-below-normal precipitation odds. However, forecast spread, lingering summer moisture patterns, and the potential for occasional tropical moisture or coastal systems support the slight market tilt toward >6 inches (22%) over the driest bins. Historical September totals average near 4.3 inches with high year-to-year variability, so traders are pricing genuine uncertainty rather than a dominant dry or wet regime ahead of early-month model updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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