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icon for 8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?

8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?

icon for 8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?

8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?

新規
2026/08/31
Polymarket

$3,693 Vol.

Polymarket

2800件以上

$1,075 Vol.

99%

2825件以上

$560 Vol.

98%

2,850件以上

$2,007 Vol.

94%

2900件以上

$0 Vol.

54%

2950以上

$50 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.**Sustained measles transmission driven by multiple active outbreaks and declining MMR vaccination coverage is shaping trader views on the U.S. case total through August 31.** As of August 20, the CDC reported 2,777 confirmed 2026 cases across 47 jurisdictions, already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual figure since 1991. Nearly all cases (94%) involve unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown status, with 94% outbreak-associated across 36 outbreaks and 7% hospitalized. Kindergarten MMR coverage has fallen to about 92.5%, enabling rapid spread in under-vaccinated communities in states including Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Utah. With four days remaining, the final count will reflect recent rash-onset cases plus reporting lags from state health departments; the next CDC weekly update is the key near-term data point traders are monitoring.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
音量
$3,693
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.**Sustained measles transmission driven by multiple active outbreaks and declining MMR vaccination coverage is shaping trader views on the U.S. case total through August 31.** As of August 20, the CDC reported 2,777 confirmed 2026 cases across 47 jurisdictions, already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual figure since 1991. Nearly all cases (94%) involve unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown status, with 94% outbreak-associated across 36 outbreaks and 7% hospitalized. Kindergarten MMR coverage has fallen to about 92.5%, enabling rapid spread in under-vaccinated communities in states including Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Utah. With four days remaining, the final count will reflect recent rash-onset cases plus reporting lags from state health departments; the next CDC weekly update is the key near-term data point traders are monitoring.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
音量
$3,693
終了日
2026/08/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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よくある質問

「8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2800件以上」で99%、次いで「2825件以上」が98%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 24, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2800件以上」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2825件以上」で98%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月31日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。