Trader consensus assigns a 90% implied probability to 13°C as Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on September 16, reflecting post-event meteorological observations and model agreement. Clear skies overnight enabled strong radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, while regional wind patterns limited mixing of warmer air. September climatology for the city typically features nighttime lows of 12–14°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the leading outcome. Official confirmation from Brazil’s National Meteorological Institute is anticipated shortly, with any revisions to the recorded minimum likely to shift remaining probabilities among the lower-temperature options.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
9月16日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
13℃ 100.0%
9°C以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
11℃ <1%
$4,299 Vol.
$4,299 Vol.
2026/09/16
9°C以下
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13℃
はい
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃以上
いいえ
13℃ 100.0%
9°C以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
11℃ <1%
$4,299 Vol.
$4,299 Vol.
2026/09/16
9°C以下
$0 Vol.
いいえ
10℃
$123 Vol.
いいえ
11℃
$20 Vol.
いいえ
12℃
$22 Vol.
いいえ
13℃
$206 Vol.
はい
14°C
$1,888 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$1,939 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$25 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$25 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$25 Vol.
いいえ
19℃以上
$25 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 90% implied probability to 13°C as Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on September 16, reflecting post-event meteorological observations and model agreement. Clear skies overnight enabled strong radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, while regional wind patterns limited mixing of warmer air. September climatology for the city typically features nighttime lows of 12–14°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the leading outcome. Official confirmation from Brazil’s National Meteorological Institute is anticipated shortly, with any revisions to the recorded minimum likely to shift remaining probabilities among the lower-temperature options.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$4,299終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 90% implied probability to 13°C as Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on September 16, reflecting post-event meteorological observations and model agreement. Clear skies overnight enabled strong radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, while regional wind patterns limited mixing of warmer air. September climatology for the city typically features nighttime lows of 12–14°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the leading outcome. Official confirmation from Brazil’s National Meteorological Institute is anticipated shortly, with any revisions to the recorded minimum likely to shift remaining probabilities among the lower-temperature options.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,299終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus assigns a 90% implied probability to 13°C as Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on September 16, reflecting post-event meteorological observations and model agreement. Clear skies overnight enabled strong radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, while regional wind patterns limited mixing of warmer air. September climatology for the city typically features nighttime lows of 12–14°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the leading outcome. Official confirmation from Brazil’s National Meteorological Institute is anticipated shortly, with any revisions to the recorded minimum likely to shift remaining probabilities among the lower-temperature options.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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