Recent heavy rainfall and lingering cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime highs while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping forecast minimum temperatures clustered near 20–23°C for September 19. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread in low-level moisture and steering flow, with some runs favoring continued easterly moisture advection that could hold the daily minimum at or below 17°C, while others indicate partial clearing and slight warm advection that might push it above 20°C. This uncertainty, combined with the short lead time before resolution, produces closely balanced market-implied odds between cooler and warmer bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble divergence in boundary-layer conditions and frontal timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の重慶の最低気温は?
17℃以下 100%
27℃以上 94%
21℃ 53%
22℃ 40%
17℃以下
100%
18℃
39%
19℃
39%
20℃
39%
21℃
53%
22℃
40%
23°C
40%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26°C
39%
27℃以上
94%
17℃以下 100%
27℃以上 94%
21℃ 53%
22℃ 40%
17℃以下
100%
18℃
39%
19℃
39%
20℃
39%
21℃
53%
22℃
40%
23°C
40%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26°C
39%
27℃以上
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heavy rainfall and lingering cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime highs while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping forecast minimum temperatures clustered near 20–23°C for September 19. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread in low-level moisture and steering flow, with some runs favoring continued easterly moisture advection that could hold the daily minimum at or below 17°C, while others indicate partial clearing and slight warm advection that might push it above 20°C. This uncertainty, combined with the short lead time before resolution, produces closely balanced market-implied odds between cooler and warmer bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of ensemble divergence in boundary-layer conditions and frontal timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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