**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a daily maximum near 89–90°F for Miami on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–91°F bin (53% implied probability).** Typical late-summer steering patterns and a weak pressure gradient favor easterly flow with moderate humidity, supporting afternoon temperatures in this narrow range. Scattered thunderstorms, expected mainly after midday with 40–50% coverage, introduce modest uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can limit peak readings. Recent observations reinforce this positioning: Miami International Airport recorded highs of 90–92°F on September 6–7 amid similar convective activity, close to the September climatological average of ~89.7°F. No tropical systems or strong frontal passages are forecast to alter the pattern through midweek, keeping the distribution centered on 88–93°F. Traders appear to weight the official NWS guidance and ensemble consistency most heavily, with the 88–89°F and 92–93°F bins each at 22.5% reflecting residual model spread in storm timing and intensity. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely serve as the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のマイアミの最高気温は？
9月9日のマイアミの最高気温は？
90〜91°F 53%
92〜93°F 23%
88～89°F 22%
86～87°F 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
79°F以下
<1%
80～81°F
<1%
82～83°F
1%
84～85°F
1%
86～87°F
3%
88～89°F
22%
90〜91°F
53%
92〜93°F
23%
94～95°F
3%
96～97°F
1%
98°F以上
<1%
90〜91°F 53%
92〜93°F 23%
88～89°F 22%
86～87°F 3%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
79°F以下
$510 Vol.
<1%
80～81°F
$91 Vol.
<1%
82～83°F
$95 Vol.
1%
84～85°F
$248 Vol.
1%
86～87°F
$91 Vol.
3%
88～89°F
$379 Vol.
22%
90〜91°F
$636 Vol.
53%
92〜93°F
$1,700 Vol.
23%
94～95°F
$263 Vol.
3%
96～97°F
$25 Vol.
1%
98°F以上
$90 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a daily maximum near 89–90°F for Miami on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–91°F bin (53% implied probability).** Typical late-summer steering patterns and a weak pressure gradient favor easterly flow with moderate humidity, supporting afternoon temperatures in this narrow range. Scattered thunderstorms, expected mainly after midday with 40–50% coverage, introduce modest uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can limit peak readings.
Recent observations reinforce this positioning: Miami International Airport recorded highs of 90–92°F on September 6–7 amid similar convective activity, close to the September climatological average of ~89.7°F. No tropical systems or strong frontal passages are forecast to alter the pattern through midweek, keeping the distribution centered on 88–93°F. Traders appear to weight the official NWS guidance and ensemble consistency most heavily, with the 88–89°F and 92–93°F bins each at 22.5% reflecting residual model spread in storm timing and intensity. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely serve as the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$4,015終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a daily maximum near 89–90°F for Miami on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–91°F bin (53% implied probability).** Typical late-summer steering patterns and a weak pressure gradient favor easterly flow with moderate humidity, supporting afternoon temperatures in this narrow range. Scattered thunderstorms, expected mainly after midday with 40–50% coverage, introduce modest uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can limit peak readings.
Recent observations reinforce this positioning: Miami International Airport recorded highs of 90–92°F on September 6–7 amid similar convective activity, close to the September climatological average of ~89.7°F. No tropical systems or strong frontal passages are forecast to alter the pattern through midweek, keeping the distribution centered on 88–93°F. Traders appear to weight the official NWS guidance and ensemble consistency most heavily, with the 88–89°F and 92–93°F bins each at 22.5% reflecting residual model spread in storm timing and intensity. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely serve as the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,015終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a daily maximum near 89–90°F for Miami on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 90–91°F bin (53% implied probability).** Typical late-summer steering patterns and a weak pressure gradient favor easterly flow with moderate humidity, supporting afternoon temperatures in this narrow range. Scattered thunderstorms, expected mainly after midday with 40–50% coverage, introduce modest uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can limit peak readings. Recent observations reinforce this positioning: Miami International Airport recorded highs of 90–92°F on September 6–7 amid similar convective activity, close to the September climatological average of ~89.7°F. No tropical systems or strong frontal passages are forecast to alter the pattern through midweek, keeping the distribution centered on 88–93°F. Traders appear to weight the official NWS guidance and ensemble consistency most heavily, with the 88–89°F and 92–93°F bins each at 22.5% reflecting residual model spread in storm timing and intensity. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely serve as the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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