**Persistent warm, humid conditions from an easterly flow and widespread cloud cover are anchoring trader sentiment toward a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on September 9.** With dew points near 78-80°F and high relative humidity limiting nighttime radiational cooling, official National Weather Service forecasts indicate overnight lows around 82°F amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market-leading 78-79°F bin (52.5% implied probability) over cooler outcomes, as models show only modest diurnal drops in a moist tropical air mass typical for early September. Recent data releases confirm no significant cold advection, keeping probabilities for 80-81°F at 28% while lower bins remain under 10%. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations through the evening will be key for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のマイアミの最低気温は?
78〜79°F 42%
80~81°F 42%
74〜75°F 6%
76〜77°F 5%
71°F以下
1%
72~73°F
4%
74〜75°F
10%
76〜77°F
5%
78〜79°F
52%
80~81°F
25%
82〜83°F
<1%
84~85°F
<1%
86~87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
78〜79°F 42%
80~81°F 42%
74〜75°F 6%
76〜77°F 5%
71°F以下
1%
72~73°F
4%
74〜75°F
10%
76〜77°F
5%
78〜79°F
52%
80~81°F
25%
82〜83°F
<1%
84~85°F
<1%
86~87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Persistent warm, humid conditions from an easterly flow and widespread cloud cover are anchoring trader sentiment toward a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Miami on September 9.** With dew points near 78-80°F and high relative humidity limiting nighttime radiational cooling, official National Weather Service forecasts indicate overnight lows around 82°F amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors the market-leading 78-79°F bin (52.5% implied probability) over cooler outcomes, as models show only modest diurnal drops in a moist tropical air mass typical for early September. Recent data releases confirm no significant cold advection, keeping probabilities for 80-81°F at 28% while lower bins remain under 10%. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations through the evening will be key for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問