Trader consensus for Miami’s lowest temperature on September 10 clusters on 78–81 °F, driven by National Weather Service model guidance showing a stable subtropical air mass with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover overnight. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicate minimal frontal passage or cold-air advection, keeping surface temperatures above seasonal norms amid warm Gulf waters and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. Historical Miami September minima average near 76 °F, yet current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts support the market’s tight 39 % and 34 % probabilities for the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Short-range model updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds if wind speeds or boundary-layer mixing shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のマイアミの最低気温は?
78~79°F 37%
80~81°F 34%
74〜75°F 14%
73°F以下 13%
73°F以下
13%
74〜75°F
14%
76〜77°F
12%
78~79°F
37%
80~81°F
34%
82~83°F
11%
84~85°F
5%
86~87°F
13%
88〜89°F
5%
90〜91°F
1%
92°F以上
1%
78~79°F 37%
80~81°F 34%
74〜75°F 14%
73°F以下 13%
73°F以下
13%
74〜75°F
14%
76〜77°F
12%
78~79°F
37%
80~81°F
34%
82~83°F
11%
84~85°F
5%
86~87°F
13%
88〜89°F
5%
90〜91°F
1%
92°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus for Miami’s lowest temperature on September 10 clusters on 78–81 °F, driven by National Weather Service model guidance showing a stable subtropical air mass with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover overnight. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicate minimal frontal passage or cold-air advection, keeping surface temperatures above seasonal norms amid warm Gulf waters and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. Historical Miami September minima average near 76 °F, yet current steering patterns and dew-point forecasts support the market’s tight 39 % and 34 % probabilities for the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Short-range model updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds if wind speeds or boundary-layer mixing shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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