**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 13, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecast model output from sources such as GFS showing an overnight low near 20–21°C (68–70°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northeast to southerly winds and high humidity. Recent days featured minima of 17.7–19.8°C amid rainy periods that limited daytime heating, aligning with climatological expectations for mid-September in the region as seasonal cooling begins. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and ensemble guidance support this narrow range, with minimal model spread. A realistic shift below 20°C would require an unforecasted cold air intrusion or measurement anomaly at the primary station, while values above 21°C appear improbable given current atmospheric stability and pressure readings near 1015–1020 hPa.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の東京の最低気温は？
9月13日の東京の最低気温は？
20°C 99%
19℃ 2%
18°C <1%
17℃以下 <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19℃
2%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C以上
<1%
20°C 99%
19℃ 2%
18°C <1%
17℃以下 <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
17℃以下
$158 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$569 Vol.
1%
19℃
$864 Vol.
2%
20°C
$995 Vol.
99%
21°C
$3,109 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$869 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$232 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$195 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
27°C以上
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 13, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecast model output from sources such as GFS showing an overnight low near 20–21°C (68–70°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northeast to southerly winds and high humidity. Recent days featured minima of 17.7–19.8°C amid rainy periods that limited daytime heating, aligning with climatological expectations for mid-September in the region as seasonal cooling begins. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and ensemble guidance support this narrow range, with minimal model spread. A realistic shift below 20°C would require an unforecasted cold air intrusion or measurement anomaly at the primary station, while values above 21°C appear improbable given current atmospheric stability and pressure readings near 1015–1020 hPa.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$9,133終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 13, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecast model output from sources such as GFS showing an overnight low near 20–21°C (68–70°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northeast to southerly winds and high humidity. Recent days featured minima of 17.7–19.8°C amid rainy periods that limited daytime heating, aligning with climatological expectations for mid-September in the region as seasonal cooling begins. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and ensemble guidance support this narrow range, with minimal model spread. A realistic shift below 20°C would require an unforecasted cold air intrusion or measurement anomaly at the primary station, while values above 21°C appear improbable given current atmospheric stability and pressure readings near 1015–1020 hPa.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,133終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 13, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects consistent forecast model output from sources such as GFS showing an overnight low near 20–21°C (68–70°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northeast to southerly winds and high humidity. Recent days featured minima of 17.7–19.8°C amid rainy periods that limited daytime heating, aligning with climatological expectations for mid-September in the region as seasonal cooling begins. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and ensemble guidance support this narrow range, with minimal model spread. A realistic shift below 20°C would require an unforecasted cold air intrusion or measurement anomaly at the primary station, while values above 21°C appear improbable given current atmospheric stability and pressure readings near 1015–1020 hPa.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問