**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月14日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C以下 <1%
$1,520 Vol.
$1,520 Vol.
2026/09/14
9°C以下
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
はい
15°C
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19°C以上
いいえ
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C以下 <1%
$1,520 Vol.
$1,520 Vol.
2026/09/14
9°C以下
$270 Vol.
いいえ
10°C
$97 Vol.
いいえ
11℃
$297 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$86 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$215 Vol.
はい
15°C
$555 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$0 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
19°C以上
$0 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,520終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,520終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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