Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a likely minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 16 of 11–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, reflecting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 6°C or below and 16°C or higher because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or an incoming Atlantic front could alter surface heat retention by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower tail, while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling toward the higher range. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether September's typical 10°C baseline holds or deviates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月16日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
16℃以上 98%
6℃以下 92%
8°C 40%
9℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
6℃以下
92%
7℃
39%
8°C
40%
9℃
40%
10℃
39%
11℃
39%
12℃
39%
13℃
39%
14℃
39%
15℃
39%
16℃以上
98%
16℃以上 98%
6℃以下 92%
8°C 40%
9℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
6℃以下
$0 Vol.
92%
7℃
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9℃
$0 Vol.
40%
10℃
$0 Vol.
39%
11℃
$0 Vol.
39%
12℃
$0 Vol.
39%
13℃
$0 Vol.
39%
14℃
$0 Vol.
39%
15℃
$0 Vol.
39%
16℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a likely minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 16 of 11–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, reflecting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 6°C or below and 16°C or higher because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or an incoming Atlantic front could alter surface heat retention by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower tail, while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling toward the higher range. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether September's typical 10°C baseline holds or deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a likely minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 16 of 11–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, reflecting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 6°C or below and 16°C or higher because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or an incoming Atlantic front could alter surface heat retention by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower tail, while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling toward the higher range. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether September's typical 10°C baseline holds or deviates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a likely minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 16 of 11–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, reflecting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 6°C or below and 16°C or higher because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or an incoming Atlantic front could alter surface heat retention by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower tail, while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling toward the higher range. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether September's typical 10°C baseline holds or deviates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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