Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to foggy conditions with light winds and high humidity, yielding a minimum temperature near 11–13°C on September 15 in Warsaw. This stems from a stable high-pressure pattern allowing gradual heat loss after daytime highs around 18–19°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology where clear-sky minima can drop several degrees below averages. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or exact observation timing can swing the recorded low by 2–4°C, while ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum amid otherwise moderate conditions. Updated model runs and official synoptic briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月15日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
7℃以下 94%
17°C以上 82%
15°C 39%
16℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
7℃以下
94%
8℃
19%
9°C
23%
10℃
25%
11℃
24%
12℃
21%
13℃
21%
14℃
21%
15°C
39%
16℃
39%
17°C以上
82%
7℃以下 94%
17°C以上 82%
15°C 39%
16℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
7℃以下
$67 Vol.
94%
8℃
$10 Vol.
19%
9°C
$0 Vol.
23%
10℃
$0 Vol.
25%
11℃
$0 Vol.
24%
12℃
$0 Vol.
21%
13℃
$0 Vol.
21%
14℃
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$10 Vol.
39%
16℃
$10 Vol.
39%
17°C以上
$10 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to foggy conditions with light winds and high humidity, yielding a minimum temperature near 11–13°C on September 15 in Warsaw. This stems from a stable high-pressure pattern allowing gradual heat loss after daytime highs around 18–19°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology where clear-sky minima can drop several degrees below averages. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or exact observation timing can swing the recorded low by 2–4°C, while ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum amid otherwise moderate conditions. Updated model runs and official synoptic briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
音量
$107終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to foggy conditions with light winds and high humidity, yielding a minimum temperature near 11–13°C on September 15 in Warsaw. This stems from a stable high-pressure pattern allowing gradual heat loss after daytime highs around 18–19°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology where clear-sky minima can drop several degrees below averages. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or exact observation timing can swing the recorded low by 2–4°C, while ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum amid otherwise moderate conditions. Updated model runs and official synoptic briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$107終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETCurrent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to foggy conditions with light winds and high humidity, yielding a minimum temperature near 11–13°C on September 15 in Warsaw. This stems from a stable high-pressure pattern allowing gradual heat loss after daytime highs around 18–19°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology where clear-sky minima can drop several degrees below averages. Trader sentiment remains split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or exact observation timing can swing the recorded low by 2–4°C, while ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum amid otherwise moderate conditions. Updated model runs and official synoptic briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow resolution odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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