Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Tokyo on September 16, 2026, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 19–21°C according to multiple forecast models. Northeasterly winds of 9–15 km/h promote mixing of the boundary layer while high humidity (90–95%) and sustained precipitation further moderate temperature drops. Japan Meteorological Agency observations and ensemble guidance show only modest variation in the minimum, with the 18–21°C range reflecting small differences in model timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts. Official resolution hinges on the Tokyo station’s 24-hour minimum, where continued overcast conditions favor the tightly bunched 19°C and 20°C market leaders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の東京の最低気温は?
18℃ 47%
21℃ 42%
20°C 38%
17°C 11%
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
11%
18℃
47%
19℃
42%
20°C
53%
21℃
28%
22℃
18%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
18℃ 47%
21℃ 42%
20°C 38%
17°C 11%
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
11%
18℃
47%
19℃
42%
20°C
53%
21℃
28%
22℃
18%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Tokyo on September 16, 2026, are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 19–21°C according to multiple forecast models. Northeasterly winds of 9–15 km/h promote mixing of the boundary layer while high humidity (90–95%) and sustained precipitation further moderate temperature drops. Japan Meteorological Agency observations and ensemble guidance show only modest variation in the minimum, with the 18–21°C range reflecting small differences in model timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts. Official resolution hinges on the Tokyo station’s 24-hour minimum, where continued overcast conditions favor the tightly bunched 19°C and 20°C market leaders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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