Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu likely between 17–20°C on September 14, driven by lingering moisture from recent rainfall and moderating winds in the Sichuan Basin. A strong El Niño event strengthening across the equatorial Pacific adds seasonal warmth but introduces variability through altered jet stream patterns that can steer cooler air southward. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light precipitation creates the main uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward the lower teens while persistent overcast conditions limit cooling. This genuine model spread and short-term atmospheric instability explain the near-even market split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh official agency guidance against possible shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の成都の最低気温は？
9月14日の成都の最低気温は？
13℃以下 100%
23℃以上 98%
17℃ 40%
18°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
13℃以下
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16℃
39%
17℃
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20℃
39%
21℃
39%
22℃
39%
23℃以上
98%
13℃以下 100%
23℃以上 98%
17℃ 40%
18°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
13℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16℃
$0 Vol.
39%
17℃
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
40%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20℃
$0 Vol.
39%
21℃
$0 Vol.
39%
22℃
$0 Vol.
39%
23℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu likely between 17–20°C on September 14, driven by lingering moisture from recent rainfall and moderating winds in the Sichuan Basin. A strong El Niño event strengthening across the equatorial Pacific adds seasonal warmth but introduces variability through altered jet stream patterns that can steer cooler air southward. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light precipitation creates the main uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward the lower teens while persistent overcast conditions limit cooling. This genuine model spread and short-term atmospheric instability explain the near-even market split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh official agency guidance against possible shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu likely between 17–20°C on September 14, driven by lingering moisture from recent rainfall and moderating winds in the Sichuan Basin. A strong El Niño event strengthening across the equatorial Pacific adds seasonal warmth but introduces variability through altered jet stream patterns that can steer cooler air southward. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light precipitation creates the main uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward the lower teens while persistent overcast conditions limit cooling. This genuine model spread and short-term atmospheric instability explain the near-even market split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh official agency guidance against possible shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu likely between 17–20°C on September 14, driven by lingering moisture from recent rainfall and moderating winds in the Sichuan Basin. A strong El Niño event strengthening across the equatorial Pacific adds seasonal warmth but introduces variability through altered jet stream patterns that can steer cooler air southward. Nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light precipitation creates the main uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward the lower teens while persistent overcast conditions limit cooling. This genuine model spread and short-term atmospheric instability explain the near-even market split between the 13°C-or-below and 23°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders weigh official agency guidance against possible shifts in steering patterns or frontal boundaries ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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