Forecast models from sources including PredictWind and regional meteorological services project a minimum temperature near 18°C for Chengdu on September 12 under overcast skies with light rain and light winds, consistent with September climatological lows of 18–20°C. Recent days have featured similar conditions with minima of 17–18°C and high humidity near 80%, supporting trader consensus around mid-range outcomes while the near-even split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below reflects model spread on overnight cooling rates and any late shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with further model runs and observational updates expected before the close of the 24-hour period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の成都の最低気温は?
14℃以下 58%
24℃以上 46%
15℃ 39%
16℃ 39%
14℃以下
58%
15℃
39%
16℃
39%
17℃
26%
18℃
30%
19℃
28%
20℃
39%
21℃
39%
22℃
39%
23°C
39%
24℃以上
46%
14℃以下 58%
24℃以上 46%
15℃ 39%
16℃ 39%
14℃以下
58%
15℃
39%
16℃
39%
17℃
26%
18℃
30%
19℃
28%
20℃
39%
21℃
39%
22℃
39%
23°C
39%
24℃以上
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including PredictWind and regional meteorological services project a minimum temperature near 18°C for Chengdu on September 12 under overcast skies with light rain and light winds, consistent with September climatological lows of 18–20°C. Recent days have featured similar conditions with minima of 17–18°C and high humidity near 80%, supporting trader consensus around mid-range outcomes while the near-even split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below reflects model spread on overnight cooling rates and any late shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with further model runs and observational updates expected before the close of the 24-hour period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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