Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance for New York City shows an overnight low near 70–72°F amid a warm, humid air mass with widespread showers and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Multiple forecasts, including those from globalmeteo and WindBorne Systems, consistently project a daily minimum in the low 70s before temperatures rebound to the upper 70s under increasing cloud cover. This strong consensus on minimal overnight cooling underpins the 93% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low. A faster-moving cold front or unexpected clearing could allow greater temperature drops, but current steering patterns and dew points near 70°F make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月13日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
70〜71°F 85%
68～69°F 10%
64～65°F 4.7%
66～67°F 3%
$9,664 Vol.
$9,664 Vol.
2026/09/13
華氏63度以下
1%
64～65°F
5%
66～67°F
3%
68～69°F
13%
70〜71°F
85%
72〜73°F
<1%
華氏74〜75度
<1%
76〜77°F
<1%
78～79°F
<1%
80～81°F
<1%
華氏82度以上
<1%
70〜71°F 85%
68～69°F 10%
64～65°F 4.7%
66～67°F 3%
$9,664 Vol.
$9,664 Vol.
2026/09/13
華氏63度以下
$1,030 Vol.
1%
64～65°F
$535 Vol.
5%
66～67°F
$498 Vol.
3%
68～69°F
$956 Vol.
13%
70〜71°F
$895 Vol.
85%
72〜73°F
$3,395 Vol.
<1%
華氏74〜75度
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
76〜77°F
$193 Vol.
<1%
78～79°F
$506 Vol.
<1%
80～81°F
$112 Vol.
<1%
華氏82度以上
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance for New York City shows an overnight low near 70–72°F amid a warm, humid air mass with widespread showers and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Multiple forecasts, including those from globalmeteo and WindBorne Systems, consistently project a daily minimum in the low 70s before temperatures rebound to the upper 70s under increasing cloud cover. This strong consensus on minimal overnight cooling underpins the 93% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low. A faster-moving cold front or unexpected clearing could allow greater temperature drops, but current steering patterns and dew points near 70°F make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$9,664終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance for New York City shows an overnight low near 70–72°F amid a warm, humid air mass with widespread showers and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Multiple forecasts, including those from globalmeteo and WindBorne Systems, consistently project a daily minimum in the low 70s before temperatures rebound to the upper 70s under increasing cloud cover. This strong consensus on minimal overnight cooling underpins the 93% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low. A faster-moving cold front or unexpected clearing could allow greater temperature drops, but current steering patterns and dew points near 70°F make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,664終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and GFS model guidance for New York City shows an overnight low near 70–72°F amid a warm, humid air mass with widespread showers and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Multiple forecasts, including those from globalmeteo and WindBorne Systems, consistently project a daily minimum in the low 70s before temperatures rebound to the upper 70s under increasing cloud cover. This strong consensus on minimal overnight cooling underpins the 93% market-implied probability for a 70–71°F low. A faster-moving cold front or unexpected clearing could allow greater temperature drops, but current steering patterns and dew points near 70°F make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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