Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds tied to a stationary frontal system as the main driver keeping Tokyo’s September 11 high near 21°C. This setup has suppressed temperatures well below the seasonal average of roughly 28°C following earlier heavy rainfall that enhanced atmospheric instability. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 20–22°C because ensemble models show only modest spreads in cloud thickness, wind timing, and precipitation duration. Updated short-range guidance and new observational data over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining uncertainty in these near-term temperature projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日の東京の最高気温は？
9月11日の東京の最高気温は？
21℃ 37%
20℃ 30%
22℃ 26%
23℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
15°C以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
3%
19℃
5%
20℃
30%
21℃
37%
22℃
26%
23℃
6%
24℃
3%
25℃以上
1%
21℃ 37%
20℃ 30%
22℃ 26%
23℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
15°C以下
$641 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$105 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$0 Vol.
3%
19℃
$13 Vol.
5%
20℃
$681 Vol.
30%
21℃
$216 Vol.
37%
22℃
$23 Vol.
26%
23℃
$0 Vol.
6%
24℃
$4 Vol.
3%
25℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds tied to a stationary frontal system as the main driver keeping Tokyo’s September 11 high near 21°C. This setup has suppressed temperatures well below the seasonal average of roughly 28°C following earlier heavy rainfall that enhanced atmospheric instability. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 20–22°C because ensemble models show only modest spreads in cloud thickness, wind timing, and precipitation duration. Updated short-range guidance and new observational data over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining uncertainty in these near-term temperature projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$1,749終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds tied to a stationary frontal system as the main driver keeping Tokyo’s September 11 high near 21°C. This setup has suppressed temperatures well below the seasonal average of roughly 28°C following earlier heavy rainfall that enhanced atmospheric instability. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 20–22°C because ensemble models show only modest spreads in cloud thickness, wind timing, and precipitation duration. Updated short-range guidance and new observational data over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining uncertainty in these near-term temperature projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,749終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds tied to a stationary frontal system as the main driver keeping Tokyo’s September 11 high near 21°C. This setup has suppressed temperatures well below the seasonal average of roughly 28°C following earlier heavy rainfall that enhanced atmospheric instability. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 20–22°C because ensemble models show only modest spreads in cloud thickness, wind timing, and precipitation duration. Updated short-range guidance and new observational data over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the remaining uncertainty in these near-term temperature projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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