Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 13 likely between 16–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, light variable winds, and scattered rain or mist that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the region's early autumn transition with residual monsoon moisture, favor milder overnight lows rather than sharp drops. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on steering patterns and precipitation timing, keeping probabilities clustered around 17–18°C while allowing for modest downside risk if clearer skies or drier air develop briefly. Traders weigh official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration against local urban heat influences when assessing resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の成都の最低気温は？
9月13日の成都の最低気温は？
14°C以下 90%
15℃ 90%
16℃ 90%
17℃ 50%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
14°C以下
90%
15℃
90%
16℃
90%
17℃
50%
18°C
54%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
14°C以下 90%
15℃ 90%
16℃ 90%
17℃ 50%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
14°C以下
$0 Vol.
90%
15℃
$0 Vol.
90%
16℃
$0 Vol.
90%
17℃
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$6 Vol.
54%
19℃
$260 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$55 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
24℃以上
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 13 likely between 16–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, light variable winds, and scattered rain or mist that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the region's early autumn transition with residual monsoon moisture, favor milder overnight lows rather than sharp drops. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on steering patterns and precipitation timing, keeping probabilities clustered around 17–18°C while allowing for modest downside risk if clearer skies or drier air develop briefly. Traders weigh official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration against local urban heat influences when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$381終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 13 likely between 16–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, light variable winds, and scattered rain or mist that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the region's early autumn transition with residual monsoon moisture, favor milder overnight lows rather than sharp drops. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on steering patterns and precipitation timing, keeping probabilities clustered around 17–18°C while allowing for modest downside risk if clearer skies or drier air develop briefly. Traders weigh official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration against local urban heat influences when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$381終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 13 likely between 16–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, light variable winds, and scattered rain or mist that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the region's early autumn transition with residual monsoon moisture, favor milder overnight lows rather than sharp drops. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on steering patterns and precipitation timing, keeping probabilities clustered around 17–18°C while allowing for modest downside risk if clearer skies or drier air develop briefly. Traders weigh official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration against local urban heat influences when assessing resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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