Recent official forecasts from European models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Warsaw on September 12, driven by building high pressure, clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight, and light northwesterly winds under stable conditions. This aligns with the market’s near-even split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and minor timing differences in frontal passage. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing context for the tight probabilities clustered at 9–16°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月12日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
7°C以下 100%
17℃以上 93%
8°C 39%
9℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
7°C以下
100%
8°C
39%
9℃
39%
10°C
28%
11℃
31%
12℃
29%
13℃
21%
14℃
21%
15°C
38%
16°C
20%
17℃以上
93%
7°C以下 100%
17℃以上 93%
8°C 39%
9℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
7°C以下
$0 Vol.
100%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9℃
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11℃
$0 Vol.
31%
12℃
$0 Vol.
29%
13℃
$0 Vol.
21%
14℃
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17℃以上
$0 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Warsaw on September 12, driven by building high pressure, clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight, and light northwesterly winds under stable conditions. This aligns with the market’s near-even split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and minor timing differences in frontal passage. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing context for the tight probabilities clustered at 9–16°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Warsaw on September 12, driven by building high pressure, clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight, and light northwesterly winds under stable conditions. This aligns with the market’s near-even split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and minor timing differences in frontal passage. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing context for the tight probabilities clustered at 9–16°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent official forecasts from European models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Warsaw on September 12, driven by building high pressure, clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight, and light northwesterly winds under stable conditions. This aligns with the market’s near-even split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and minor timing differences in frontal passage. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing context for the tight probabilities clustered at 9–16°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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