Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 10 will likely settle between 10–13°C, driven by post-frontal clearing after daytime showers, light to moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because model runs show minor divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology places average overnight lows near 9–10°C, providing context for the elevated probabilities on 10–12°C outcomes amid current above-normal daytime warmth. Updated model guidance and official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations through the night will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のワルシャワの最低気温は?
12℃ 44%
14℃ 38.0%
9℃以下 34%
10°C 25%
9℃以下
34%
10°C
25%
11℃
23%
12℃
44%
13℃
44%
14℃
38%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C以上
<1%
12℃ 44%
14℃ 38.0%
9℃以下 34%
10°C 25%
9℃以下
34%
10°C
25%
11℃
23%
12℃
44%
13℃
44%
14℃
38%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 10 will likely settle between 10–13°C, driven by post-frontal clearing after daytime showers, light to moderate westerly winds, and radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these thresholds because model runs show minor divergences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology places average overnight lows near 9–10°C, providing context for the elevated probabilities on 10–12°C outcomes amid current above-normal daytime warmth. Updated model guidance and official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations through the night will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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