**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Shanghai on September 12, 2026, at 95% implied probability, driven by official forecast model consensus showing clear skies and light northeasterly winds producing an overnight minimum near that threshold.** Current observations indicate daytime highs reaching 29–30°C under mostly sunny conditions, with radiative cooling overnight expected to bottom out around 22–24°C depending on the exact station and timing, aligning closely with September climatology where average lows range from 22–23°C. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs support this range with minimal model spread, and no incoming weather systems or significant moisture are altering the pattern. The strong positioning reflects real-capital assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized wind shift could nudge the recorded minimum slightly lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の上海の最低気温は？
9月12日の上海の最低気温は？
24℃ 95%
23℃ 4%
22℃ 2%
21℃ <1%
$17,578 Vol.
$17,578 Vol.
2026/09/12
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
4%
24℃
95%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
24℃ 95%
23℃ 4%
22℃ 2%
21℃ <1%
$17,578 Vol.
$17,578 Vol.
2026/09/12
18℃以下
$185 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$155 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$421 Vol.
1%
22℃
$1,989 Vol.
2%
23℃
$3,635 Vol.
4%
24℃
$7,722 Vol.
95%
25°C
$2,808 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$186 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$165 Vol.
<1%
28℃以上
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Shanghai on September 12, 2026, at 95% implied probability, driven by official forecast model consensus showing clear skies and light northeasterly winds producing an overnight minimum near that threshold.**
Current observations indicate daytime highs reaching 29–30°C under mostly sunny conditions, with radiative cooling overnight expected to bottom out around 22–24°C depending on the exact station and timing, aligning closely with September climatology where average lows range from 22–23°C. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs support this range with minimal model spread, and no incoming weather systems or significant moisture are altering the pattern. The strong positioning reflects real-capital assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized wind shift could nudge the recorded minimum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$17,578終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Shanghai on September 12, 2026, at 95% implied probability, driven by official forecast model consensus showing clear skies and light northeasterly winds producing an overnight minimum near that threshold.**
Current observations indicate daytime highs reaching 29–30°C under mostly sunny conditions, with radiative cooling overnight expected to bottom out around 22–24°C depending on the exact station and timing, aligning closely with September climatology where average lows range from 22–23°C. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs support this range with minimal model spread, and no incoming weather systems or significant moisture are altering the pattern. The strong positioning reflects real-capital assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized wind shift could nudge the recorded minimum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$17,578終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C low for Shanghai on September 12, 2026, at 95% implied probability, driven by official forecast model consensus showing clear skies and light northeasterly winds producing an overnight minimum near that threshold.** Current observations indicate daytime highs reaching 29–30°C under mostly sunny conditions, with radiative cooling overnight expected to bottom out around 22–24°C depending on the exact station and timing, aligning closely with September climatology where average lows range from 22–23°C. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs support this range with minimal model spread, and no incoming weather systems or significant moisture are altering the pattern. The strong positioning reflects real-capital assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized wind shift could nudge the recorded minimum slightly lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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