Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle near 23–24°C under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds, and limited cloud cover that favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29°C. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September but show little potential for stronger advection of cooler air or enhanced nocturnal cooling that would push readings to 20°C or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because traders are weighting the latest model consensus and low forecast spread, while the 19°C-or-below outcome remains a low-probability tail scenario requiring an unexpected shift in steering patterns or measurement-site effects. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の上海の最低気温は？
9月14日の上海の最低気温は？
19°C以下 39%
29℃以上 39%
24℃ 38%
20℃ 31%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
19°C以下
39%
20℃
31%
21℃
31%
22℃
31%
23°C
33%
24℃
38%
25℃
31%
26℃
31%
27°C
31%
28℃
31%
29℃以上
39%
19°C以下 39%
29℃以上 39%
24℃ 38%
20℃ 31%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
19°C以下
$0 Vol.
39%
20℃
$0 Vol.
31%
21℃
$0 Vol.
31%
22℃
$0 Vol.
31%
23°C
$103 Vol.
33%
24℃
$151 Vol.
38%
25℃
$0 Vol.
31%
26℃
$0 Vol.
31%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28℃
$0 Vol.
31%
29℃以上
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle near 23–24°C under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds, and limited cloud cover that favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29°C. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September but show little potential for stronger advection of cooler air or enhanced nocturnal cooling that would push readings to 20°C or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because traders are weighting the latest model consensus and low forecast spread, while the 19°C-or-below outcome remains a low-probability tail scenario requiring an unexpected shift in steering patterns or measurement-site effects. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$254終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle near 23–24°C under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds, and limited cloud cover that favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29°C. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September but show little potential for stronger advection of cooler air or enhanced nocturnal cooling that would push readings to 20°C or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because traders are weighting the latest model consensus and low forecast spread, while the 19°C-or-below outcome remains a low-probability tail scenario requiring an unexpected shift in steering patterns or measurement-site effects. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$254終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 14 will likely settle near 23–24°C under persistent high pressure, light northeast winds, and limited cloud cover that favors moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 29°C. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-September but show little potential for stronger advection of cooler air or enhanced nocturnal cooling that would push readings to 20°C or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because traders are weighting the latest model consensus and low forecast spread, while the 19°C-or-below outcome remains a low-probability tail scenario requiring an unexpected shift in steering patterns or measurement-site effects. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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