Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show notable divergence in expected overnight minimums for September 13, with projected lows ranging from around 6°C to 13°C amid variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a weak frontal passage. This uncertainty drives the near-even market-implied odds between sub-7°C outcomes and highs of 16°C or above, as clear skies would enhance radiative cooling toward historical September averages near 10°C while increased moisture and mixing could hold temperatures higher. Official guidance from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute emphasizes that small shifts in timing of any precipitation or wind direction could tip the minimum across key thresholds, leaving traders weighing ensemble spread against climatological baselines for the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のヘルシンキの最低気温は？
9月13日のヘルシンキの最低気温は？
8℃ 39%
9°C 38%
14℃ 38%
15℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
6℃以下
1%
7°C
1%
8℃
39%
9°C
38%
10℃
22%
11℃
28%
12°C
27%
13°C
22%
14℃
38%
15℃
38%
16℃以上
1%
8℃ 39%
9°C 38%
14℃ 38%
15℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
6℃以下
$0 Vol.
1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
1%
8℃
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
38%
10℃
$0 Vol.
22%
11℃
$4 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14℃
$0 Vol.
38%
15℃
$0 Vol.
38%
16℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show notable divergence in expected overnight minimums for September 13, with projected lows ranging from around 6°C to 13°C amid variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a weak frontal passage. This uncertainty drives the near-even market-implied odds between sub-7°C outcomes and highs of 16°C or above, as clear skies would enhance radiative cooling toward historical September averages near 10°C while increased moisture and mixing could hold temperatures higher. Official guidance from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute emphasizes that small shifts in timing of any precipitation or wind direction could tip the minimum across key thresholds, leaving traders weighing ensemble spread against climatological baselines for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$4終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show notable divergence in expected overnight minimums for September 13, with projected lows ranging from around 6°C to 13°C amid variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a weak frontal passage. This uncertainty drives the near-even market-implied odds between sub-7°C outcomes and highs of 16°C or above, as clear skies would enhance radiative cooling toward historical September averages near 10°C while increased moisture and mixing could hold temperatures higher. Official guidance from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute emphasizes that small shifts in timing of any precipitation or wind direction could tip the minimum across key thresholds, leaving traders weighing ensemble spread against climatological baselines for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast model runs for Helsinki show notable divergence in expected overnight minimums for September 13, with projected lows ranging from around 6°C to 13°C amid variable cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and a weak frontal passage. This uncertainty drives the near-even market-implied odds between sub-7°C outcomes and highs of 16°C or above, as clear skies would enhance radiative cooling toward historical September averages near 10°C while increased moisture and mixing could hold temperatures higher. Official guidance from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute emphasizes that small shifts in timing of any precipitation or wind direction could tip the minimum across key thresholds, leaving traders weighing ensemble spread against climatological baselines for the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問