**Forecast uncertainty for Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 14 centers on model consensus placing the low in the 7–10°C range amid a mild high-pressure regime.** Current conditions show temperatures near 10–15°C with light winds and variable cloud, setting up moderate radiational cooling potential under clearer skies versus retained heat from increased cloud cover or Baltic Sea influence. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight market-implied odds between sub-3°C extremes and milder outcomes above 11°C, as small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or frontal timing can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September lows average near 9–10°C, providing context, while the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and official FMI observations will likely resolve much of the spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のヘルシンキの最低気温は?
2°C以下 100%
12℃以上 98%
5℃ 40%
6℃ 40%
2°C以下
100%
3℃
39%
4°C
39%
5℃
40%
6℃
40%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9℃
39%
10°C
39%
11℃
39%
12℃以上
98%
2°C以下 100%
12℃以上 98%
5℃ 40%
6℃ 40%
2°C以下
100%
3℃
39%
4°C
39%
5℃
40%
6℃
40%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9℃
39%
10°C
39%
11℃
39%
12℃以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast uncertainty for Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 14 centers on model consensus placing the low in the 7–10°C range amid a mild high-pressure regime.** Current conditions show temperatures near 10–15°C with light winds and variable cloud, setting up moderate radiational cooling potential under clearer skies versus retained heat from increased cloud cover or Baltic Sea influence. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight market-implied odds between sub-3°C extremes and milder outcomes above 11°C, as small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or frontal timing can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical September lows average near 9–10°C, providing context, while the next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and official FMI observations will likely resolve much of the spread before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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