**Latest official forecasts for Moscow on September 13 project an overnight low near 8–11°C under light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs reaching about 18°C.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.4°C for the date and reflects stable autumn conditions without significant cold-air advection. Multiple model runs show minor spread in the precise minimum due to boundary-layer cooling rates and local urban effects, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 6–12°C range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance against the chance of small forecast revisions before the 24-hour observational window closes, consistent with typical uncertainty in short-range temperature minima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のモスクワの最低気温は?
2℃以下 48%
12°C以上 47%
3℃ 40%
4℃ 40%
2℃以下
48%
3℃
40%
4℃
40%
5℃
25%
6℃
26%
7℃
30%
8℃
24%
9℃
24%
10℃
40%
11°C
40%
12°C以上
47%
2℃以下 48%
12°C以上 47%
3℃ 40%
4℃ 40%
2℃以下
48%
3℃
40%
4℃
40%
5℃
25%
6℃
26%
7℃
30%
8℃
24%
9℃
24%
10℃
40%
11°C
40%
12°C以上
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts for Moscow on September 13 project an overnight low near 8–11°C under light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs reaching about 18°C.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.4°C for the date and reflects stable autumn conditions without significant cold-air advection. Multiple model runs show minor spread in the precise minimum due to boundary-layer cooling rates and local urban effects, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 6–12°C range. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance against the chance of small forecast revisions before the 24-hour observational window closes, consistent with typical uncertainty in short-range temperature minima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問