Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate clear skies and light winds over Toronto on September 12, 2026, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that should drive the daily minimum into the 13–15 °C range. This aligns with the historical average low of 14.5 °C for the date and recent September analogs showing similar calm, dry conditions. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to small variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 13–15 °C while limiting downside risk below 10 °C or upside above 16 °C. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のトロントの最低気温は?
10℃以下 74%
20℃以上 41%
14°C 32%
13℃ 31%
10℃以下
74%
11℃
15%
12°C
24%
13℃
31%
14°C
32%
15℃
17%
16℃
12%
17℃
20%
18℃
6%
19°C
10%
20℃以上
41%
10℃以下 74%
20℃以上 41%
14°C 32%
13℃ 31%
10℃以下
74%
11℃
15%
12°C
24%
13℃
31%
14°C
32%
15℃
17%
16℃
12%
17℃
20%
18℃
6%
19°C
10%
20℃以上
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate clear skies and light winds over Toronto on September 12, 2026, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that should drive the daily minimum into the 13–15 °C range. This aligns with the historical average low of 14.5 °C for the date and recent September analogs showing similar calm, dry conditions. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to small variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around 13–15 °C while limiting downside risk below 10 °C or upside above 16 °C. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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