Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS place the September 11 maximum in Paris near 23–25 °C under a building anticyclone, with light westerly winds, variable cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon insolation timing and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier cloud break or stronger subsidence could push the peak to 25 °C, while persistent low stratus would favor 23 °C. This range sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 22 °C. Traders’ near-even implied probabilities for 24 °C and 25 °C capture the remaining spread in short-range model runs and the sensitivity of the daily maximum to small changes in radiative forcing before resolution tomorrow evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のパリの最高気温は？
9月11日のパリの最高気温は？
25℃ 35%
24℃ 33%
23℃ 13%
26℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
19℃以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22℃
4%
23℃
13%
24℃
33%
25℃
35%
26℃
10%
27℃
2%
28℃
1%
29℃以上
<1%
25℃ 35%
24℃ 33%
23℃ 13%
26℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
19℃以下
$134 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
1%
21°C
$217 Vol.
3%
22℃
$238 Vol.
4%
23℃
$1,195 Vol.
13%
24℃
$861 Vol.
33%
25℃
$2,149 Vol.
35%
26℃
$1,278 Vol.
10%
27℃
$423 Vol.
2%
28℃
$177 Vol.
1%
29℃以上
$326 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS place the September 11 maximum in Paris near 23–25 °C under a building anticyclone, with light westerly winds, variable cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon insolation timing and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier cloud break or stronger subsidence could push the peak to 25 °C, while persistent low stratus would favor 23 °C. This range sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 22 °C. Traders’ near-even implied probabilities for 24 °C and 25 °C capture the remaining spread in short-range model runs and the sensitivity of the daily maximum to small changes in radiative forcing before resolution tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$7,018終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS place the September 11 maximum in Paris near 23–25 °C under a building anticyclone, with light westerly winds, variable cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon insolation timing and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier cloud break or stronger subsidence could push the peak to 25 °C, while persistent low stratus would favor 23 °C. This range sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 22 °C. Traders’ near-even implied probabilities for 24 °C and 25 °C capture the remaining spread in short-range model runs and the sensitivity of the daily maximum to small changes in radiative forcing before resolution tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,018終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS place the September 11 maximum in Paris near 23–25 °C under a building anticyclone, with light westerly winds, variable cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon insolation timing and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier cloud break or stronger subsidence could push the peak to 25 °C, while persistent low stratus would favor 23 °C. This range sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of roughly 22 °C. Traders’ near-even implied probabilities for 24 °C and 25 °C capture the remaining spread in short-range model runs and the sensitivity of the daily maximum to small changes in radiative forcing before resolution tomorrow evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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