Official Met Office forecasts and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 21°C for London on September 10, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for that threshold. A dry but mostly cloudy morning under southwesterly flow is expected to give way to thickening cloud and light rain by evening, limiting solar heating and keeping the peak near the seasonal average of roughly 20–21°C. Afternoon observations already registering 21°C reinforce the consensus. A stronger ridge or unexpected clearance could allow brief warming toward 22°C, though guidance shows low likelihood given the approaching frontal system and freshening winds. Resolution will hinge on the official highest recorded temperature at approved London stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のロンドンの最高気温は?
21℃ 98%
22℃ 2%
23℃ <1%
16°C以下 <1%
$61,415 Vol.
$61,415 Vol.
16°C以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
98%
22℃
2%
23℃
1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
21℃ 98%
22℃ 2%
23℃ <1%
16°C以下 <1%
$61,415 Vol.
$61,415 Vol.
16°C以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
98%
22℃
2%
23℃
1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Met Office forecasts and supporting model runs project a daytime maximum of 21°C for London on September 10, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for that threshold. A dry but mostly cloudy morning under southwesterly flow is expected to give way to thickening cloud and light rain by evening, limiting solar heating and keeping the peak near the seasonal average of roughly 20–21°C. Afternoon observations already registering 21°C reinforce the consensus. A stronger ridge or unexpected clearance could allow brief warming toward 22°C, though guidance shows low likelihood given the approaching frontal system and freshening winds. Resolution will hinge on the official highest recorded temperature at approved London stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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