**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.** This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月10日のロンドンの最低気温は？
12℃ 48%
13℃ 36%
14℃ 11%
11℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
5°C以下
1%
6℃
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9℃
2%
10°C
5%
11℃
6%
12℃
48%
13℃
36%
14℃
11%
15°C以上
3%
12℃ 48%
13℃ 36%
14℃ 11%
11℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
5°C以下
$116 Vol.
1%
6℃
$45 Vol.
1%
7°C
$68 Vol.
1%
8°C
$262 Vol.
1%
9℃
$513 Vol.
2%
10°C
$159 Vol.
5%
11℃
$472 Vol.
6%
12℃
$1,921 Vol.
48%
13℃
$815 Vol.
36%
14℃
$558 Vol.
11%
15°C以上
$66 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.**
This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$4,943終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.**
This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,943終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.** This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問