**Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25°C on September 12, driven by typical subtropical conditions with light northeasterly winds, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Historical climatology for the date shows an average low of 24.5°C, with recent observations and ensemble guidance clustering tightly around this value, supporting the market-implied 99% consensus on 25°C as the likely official minimum from China Meteorological Administration stations. Trader positioning reflects this strong model agreement and absence of cold-air advection or frontal systems. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement variations, revised post-event analysis, or an unforecasted brief surge of cooler air, though current data make substantial deviations improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の広州の最低気温は？
9月12日の広州の最低気温は？
25℃ 99%
20°C 22.0%
19°C 7.3%
21℃ 1.9%
$675 Vol.
$675 Vol.
2026/09/12
18℃以下
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
22%
21℃
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24℃
2%
25℃
99%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
25℃ 99%
20°C 22.0%
19°C 7.3%
21℃ 1.9%
$675 Vol.
$675 Vol.
2026/09/12
18℃以下
$63 Vol.
1%
19°C
$45 Vol.
7%
20°C
$15 Vol.
22%
21℃
$33 Vol.
2%
22°C
$87 Vol.
2%
23°C
$93 Vol.
2%
24℃
$72 Vol.
2%
25℃
$166 Vol.
99%
26°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$30 Vol.
<1%
28℃以上
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25°C on September 12, driven by typical subtropical conditions with light northeasterly winds, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Historical climatology for the date shows an average low of 24.5°C, with recent observations and ensemble guidance clustering tightly around this value, supporting the market-implied 99% consensus on 25°C as the likely official minimum from China Meteorological Administration stations. Trader positioning reflects this strong model agreement and absence of cold-air advection or frontal systems. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement variations, revised post-event analysis, or an unforecasted brief surge of cooler air, though current data make substantial deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$675終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25°C on September 12, driven by typical subtropical conditions with light northeasterly winds, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Historical climatology for the date shows an average low of 24.5°C, with recent observations and ensemble guidance clustering tightly around this value, supporting the market-implied 99% consensus on 25°C as the likely official minimum from China Meteorological Administration stations. Trader positioning reflects this strong model agreement and absence of cold-air advection or frontal systems. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement variations, revised post-event analysis, or an unforecasted brief surge of cooler air, though current data make substantial deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$675終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Current forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25°C on September 12, driven by typical subtropical conditions with light northeasterly winds, high humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Historical climatology for the date shows an average low of 24.5°C, with recent observations and ensemble guidance clustering tightly around this value, supporting the market-implied 99% consensus on 25°C as the likely official minimum from China Meteorological Administration stations. Trader positioning reflects this strong model agreement and absence of cold-air advection or frontal systems. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement variations, revised post-event analysis, or an unforecasted brief surge of cooler air, though current data make substantial deviations improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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