Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Sunday high near 101–102°F in Austin, driven by persistent warm, humid air under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with early-August climatology where average maxima hover near 98–99°F, but recent heat has pushed readings higher. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle steering patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°F either way, explaining why market-implied odds sit nearly even between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のオースティンの最高気温は?
100~101°F 39%
98~99°F 38%
102〜103°F 14%
96〜97°F 8%
91°F以下
<1%
92〜93°F
1%
94~95°F
2%
96〜97°F
8%
98~99°F
38%
100~101°F
39%
102〜103°F
14%
104〜105°F
4%
106〜107°F
1%
108〜109°F
<1%
華氏110度以上
<1%
100~101°F 39%
98~99°F 38%
102〜103°F 14%
96〜97°F 8%
91°F以下
<1%
92〜93°F
1%
94~95°F
2%
96〜97°F
8%
98~99°F
38%
100~101°F
39%
102〜103°F
14%
104〜105°F
4%
106〜107°F
1%
108〜109°F
<1%
華氏110度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Sunday high near 101–102°F in Austin, driven by persistent warm, humid air under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with early-August climatology where average maxima hover near 98–99°F, but recent heat has pushed readings higher. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle steering patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°F either way, explaining why market-implied odds sit nearly even between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問