Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific subtropical high are the main catalyst, sustaining southerly warm-moist advection and clear-sky solar heating across southern Korea. Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings remain active for Busan as of August 1, supporting trader consensus around 35–36 °C maxima for August 3. Ensemble model spreads and minor uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight ridge positioning differentiate the tightly bunched 35 °C (28.5 %), 36 °C (30.5 %), and 37 °C (21.5 %) outcomes; coastal sea-breeze moderation and urban-heat-island effects add further variability. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日の釜山の最高気温は?
36℃ 31%
35℃ 29%
37℃ 22%
34℃ 11%
32℃以下
2%
33℃
4%
34℃
11%
35℃
29%
36℃
31%
37℃
22%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40℃
4%
41℃
2%
42°C以上
1%
36℃ 31%
35℃ 29%
37℃ 22%
34℃ 11%
32℃以下
2%
33℃
4%
34℃
11%
35℃
29%
36℃
31%
37℃
22%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40℃
4%
41℃
2%
42°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific subtropical high are the main catalyst, sustaining southerly warm-moist advection and clear-sky solar heating across southern Korea. Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings remain active for Busan as of August 1, supporting trader consensus around 35–36 °C maxima for August 3. Ensemble model spreads and minor uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or slight ridge positioning differentiate the tightly bunched 35 °C (28.5 %), 36 °C (30.5 %), and 37 °C (21.5 %) outcomes; coastal sea-breeze moderation and urban-heat-island effects add further variability. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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