Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to mostly clear or partly cloudy skies over Beijing on September 23, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. Light southerly flow and surface high pressure favor subsidence and strong daytime insolation, while dew-point values near 15–18 °C limit evaporative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing; ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日の北京の最高気温は？
9月23日の北京の最高気温は？
31℃ 37%
32℃ 26%
30°C 20%
33℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
26°C以下
4%
27℃
4%
28℃
4%
29℃
6%
30°C
20%
31℃
32%
32℃
26%
33℃
16%
34℃
10%
35℃
15%
36℃以上
13%
31℃ 37%
32℃ 26%
30°C 20%
33℃ 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
26°C以下
$5 Vol.
4%
27℃
$5 Vol.
4%
28℃
$5 Vol.
4%
29℃
$20 Vol.
6%
30°C
$5 Vol.
20%
31℃
$18 Vol.
32%
32℃
$5 Vol.
26%
33℃
$21 Vol.
16%
34℃
$5 Vol.
10%
35℃
$5 Vol.
15%
36℃以上
$5 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to mostly clear or partly cloudy skies over Beijing on September 23, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. Light southerly flow and surface high pressure favor subsidence and strong daytime insolation, while dew-point values near 15–18 °C limit evaporative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing; ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$99終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to mostly clear or partly cloudy skies over Beijing on September 23, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. Light southerly flow and surface high pressure favor subsidence and strong daytime insolation, while dew-point values near 15–18 °C limit evaporative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing; ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$99終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to mostly clear or partly cloudy skies over Beijing on September 23, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–32 °C. Light southerly flow and surface high pressure favor subsidence and strong daytime insolation, while dew-point values near 15–18 °C limit evaporative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast timing of any afternoon cloud build-up or subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing; ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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