**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models project a daily maximum of 29°C in Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low precipitation risk, aligning with late-September climatology where highs typically range 24–28°C.** This positions the 29°C outcome as the clear market consensus at 98% implied probability, as current observations and model runs show afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold amid stable high pressure. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C either way, though sustained clear conditions and typical diurnal heating support the current trader positioning ahead of final data resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の青島の最高気温は？
9月21日の青島の最高気温は？
29℃ 99.5%
30℃ <1%
25℃以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
$61,961 Vol.
$61,961 Vol.
2026/09/21
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
100%
30℃
1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
29℃ 99.5%
30℃ <1%
25℃以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
$61,961 Vol.
$61,961 Vol.
2026/09/21
25℃以下
$13,999 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$18,315 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$9,759 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,348 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$6,709 Vol.
100%
30℃
$4,430 Vol.
1%
31℃
$2,584 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$196 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models project a daily maximum of 29°C in Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low precipitation risk, aligning with late-September climatology where highs typically range 24–28°C.** This positions the 29°C outcome as the clear market consensus at 98% implied probability, as current observations and model runs show afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold amid stable high pressure. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C either way, though sustained clear conditions and typical diurnal heating support the current trader positioning ahead of final data resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
音量
$61,961終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models project a daily maximum of 29°C in Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low precipitation risk, aligning with late-September climatology where highs typically range 24–28°C.** This positions the 29°C outcome as the clear market consensus at 98% implied probability, as current observations and model runs show afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold amid stable high pressure. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C either way, though sustained clear conditions and typical diurnal heating support the current trader positioning ahead of final data resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$61,961終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models project a daily maximum of 29°C in Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and low precipitation risk, aligning with late-September climatology where highs typically range 24–28°C.** This positions the 29°C outcome as the clear market consensus at 98% implied probability, as current observations and model runs show afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold amid stable high pressure. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C either way, though sustained clear conditions and typical diurnal heating support the current trader positioning ahead of final data resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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