Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月22日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
7月22日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
13°C 36%
14°C 32%
12°C 16%
15°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/07/22
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
16%
13°C
36%
14°C
32%
15°C
11%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 36%
14°C 32%
12°C 16%
15°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/07/22
9°C or below
$211 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$131 Vol.
1%
11°C
$392 Vol.
5%
12°C
$1,152 Vol.
16%
13°C
$261 Vol.
36%
14°C
$204 Vol.
32%
15°C
$246 Vol.
11%
16°C
$390 Vol.
3%
17°C
$163 Vol.
1%
18°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$3,405終了日
2026/07/22マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,405終了日
2026/07/22マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETForecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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