Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a 33–35°C range for Tokyo on July 21 amid a persistent heatwave fueled by a strong Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward. This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal baselines from a warming climate and northward-shifted westerlies, underpins trader clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime maxima, urban heat-island amplification in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月21日の東京の最高気温は？
7月21日の東京の最高気温は？
35℃ 41%
36℃ 24%
34℃ 20%
37°C 8.8%
新規
$15,239 Vol.
新規
$15,239 Vol.
2026/07/21
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
1%
32℃
2%
33°C
6%
34℃
20%
35℃
41%
36℃
24%
37°C
9%
38℃以上
2%
35℃ 41%
36℃ 24%
34℃ 20%
37°C 8.8%
新規
$15,239 Vol.
新規
$15,239 Vol.
2026/07/21
28°C以下
$211 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$210 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$1,972 Vol.
1%
32℃
$706 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,081 Vol.
6%
34℃
$1,535 Vol.
20%
35℃
$2,426 Vol.
41%
36℃
$1,158 Vol.
24%
37°C
$3,398 Vol.
9%
38℃以上
$2,095 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a 33–35°C range for Tokyo on July 21 amid a persistent heatwave fueled by a strong Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward. This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal baselines from a warming climate and northward-shifted westerlies, underpins trader clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime maxima, urban heat-island amplification in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$15,239終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a 33–35°C range for Tokyo on July 21 amid a persistent heatwave fueled by a strong Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward. This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal baselines from a warming climate and northward-shifted westerlies, underpins trader clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime maxima, urban heat-island amplification in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,239終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a 33–35°C range for Tokyo on July 21 amid a persistent heatwave fueled by a strong Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward. This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal baselines from a warming climate and northward-shifted westerlies, underpins trader clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime maxima, urban heat-island amplification in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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