Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com indicate a high near 23°C for Munich on July 20, 2026, under scattered clouds with limited precipitation risk, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 22–24°C. July climatological averages hover around 23–24°C, but a recent cooling trend—evident in prior days' thunderstorm activity and moderating highs—has tempered expectations for exceeding 24°C. Model consensus emphasizes typical mid-summer variability from Atlantic influences and regional cloud cover, keeping probabilities clustered near historical norms rather than extremes. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月20日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
23°C 41%
22°C 35%
24°C 27%
20°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
28%
23°C
41%
24°C
27%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 41%
22°C 35%
24°C 27%
20°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
28%
23°C
41%
24°C
27%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com indicate a high near 23°C for Munich on July 20, 2026, under scattered clouds with limited precipitation risk, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 22–24°C. July climatological averages hover around 23–24°C, but a recent cooling trend—evident in prior days' thunderstorm activity and moderating highs—has tempered expectations for exceeding 24°C. Model consensus emphasizes typical mid-summer variability from Atlantic influences and regional cloud cover, keeping probabilities clustered near historical norms rather than extremes. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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